Iran and the US Stalemate Over Maritime Route Negotiations in Strait of Hormuz
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Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said in a Telegram post on Saturday that Iran's negotiations with Oman remained ongoing to determine a new maritime route in the Strait of Hormuz, while Trump on Monday threatened to bomb Oman if the Gulf state "gets in the way" of U.S. efforts to reopen the strait.
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Financial TimesTrump threatens to bomb Oman if it ‘gets in the way’ of US-Iran negotiations Remarks come as Gulf state has been in talks with Tehran over provisional arrangement to manage Strait of Hormuz
Common Dreams5 #000000 #FFFFFF Trump's warning to Oman over its negotiations with Iran comes as the closure of the Strait of Hormuz is once again putting upward pressure on petroleum prices.
Washington Times BusinessEven then, Iran has said it would control the strait - and potentially charge fees - through an agreement it is negotiating with Oman, and that the strait will not go back to being an open, toll-free waterway as it was before the war.
ZeroHedgeOn the question of finding a path toward broader US-Iran peace, there's still no movements on talks. Qatar is even openly saying that its direct mediation efforts won't resume until the Oman deal is finalized - which critics have complained gives Iran de facto control of operations in the Strait of Hormuz.
FortuneAs Iran insists on some form of fee structure for traversing the now-infamous strait—and the U.S. increasingly seems unable to prevent it—the rising expectation is that other nations may insist on new fees elsewhere, such as Asia’s Strait of Malacca, Europe’s and Africa’s Strait of Gibraltar, as well as key waterways impacted by Russia’s war in Ukraine.
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Acceding to Iran’s latest demands would mean giving it control over a critical international waterway that carried a fifth of the world’s traded oil and gas before the war - and would be tantamount to admitting defeat. Escalating the deeply unpopular war would further draw down U.S. supplies of advanced missile interceptors, jolt the world economy, and drive up gas prices ahead of U.S. congressional elections.
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ZeroHedgeSuch attacks which mark enforcement of Iran's protocol and claim of control over the vital energy transit waterway have been steady, though not rapid, over the last several weeks. Oil prices have been on the rise this week, also as it continues to be clear that Washington and Tehran are digging in with their competing maximum demands.
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Washington and Tehran have rejected further talks after the 60-day negotiating ceasefire deal, reached in mid-June aimed at opening space for diplomatic engagement, expired on Monday without a formal follow-on agreement.
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ZeroHedgeAll of this comes on the heels of the 60-day diplomatic window set by the MoU inked in June has expired. Tehran said it was already effectively dead anyway, and thus "irrelevant" - blaming Washington for having violated its terms on multiple occasions.
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"Arab intelligence officials have picked up evidence... of a strategic shift inside the country’s hard-line leadership to get their forces ready to widen the war and raise the costs for the US," the Journal reported. "Their overriding goal is to inflict enough pain to ensure the kind of attacks Iran has endured with the 12-day war last year and the continuing conflict aren’t repeated."
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CNBCIran's hardline leadership, for its part, has no intention of winding down the conflict, but instead widening the war to raise the costs for the U.S. and its regional allies, Wall Street Journal reported on Sunday, citing intelligence obtained from unnamed Iranian and Arab officials.
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Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, which rose immediately after the interim deal, is back to a small fraction of what it was before the war. Rising prices of fuel and other goods are expected to climb further the longer this continues with effects far beyond the Middle East.
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CNBCSuccess in routing oil around the Strait of Hormuz has kept prices from spiking past $100 a barrel, while the global economy has adapted to the closure, giving the U.S. room to "afford to wait," Eurasia Group said.
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Independent claims that didn't surface elsewhere in our corpus. Treat as supplementary — not corroborated across outlets.
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01 ZeroHedge Hormuz isn't the only chokepoint still witnessing active conflict. Waters off Yemen and the Red Sea also continue to heat up, with the Iranian-allied Houthi rebels still escalating.
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02 Bloomberg What’s Next for US-Iran in Hormuz With Expired MOU? US President Donald Trump said he won’t try to revive a lapsed ceasefire deal with Iran, which gave the parties a 60-day window to negotiate a lasting peace deal. Col. Wayne Sanders (Ret.) of Bloomberg Intelligence examines what comes next after the expiry of the memorandum of understanding and with the Middle East conflict and control of the Strait of Hormuz stuck in limbo. (Source: Bloomberg)
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03 Fortune Concerns are growing that the de-facto tolling of the Strait of Hormuz could trigger a domino effect for key shipping bottlenecks worldwide, creating more global inflation and effectively killing key components of international maritime law.
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04 CNBC A cargo vessel was struck by a projectile while transiting the Strait of Hormuz, the U.K. Maritime Trade Operations agency said Tuesday, signaling persisting navigation risks in the waterway as Washington and Tehran harden their positions.
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05 Common Dreams Speaking with Fox News, Trump was asked about talks that Iran and Oman have been conducting about jointly overseeing operations of the strait, which has been shut down ever since Trump started an illegal war in late February.
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06 Washington Times Business The deal that U.S. President Donald Trump signed at Versailles in June set an ambitious 60-day deadline for ending the war with Iran and reaching an accord on its nuclear program.
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